A pharmaceutical company has resources to develop either drug X or drug Y or none at all. Drug X will cost $100 million to develop, and it can generate $1 billion if it succeeds.Drug Y will cost $10 million to develop, and it can generate $300 million if it succeeds.Drug X has a 50% chance of success and drug Y has an 80% chance of success.Use decision tree to help the pharmaceutical company select which drug to develop.What are the expected values for the three decision alternatives: (i) developing drug X, (ii) developing drug Y, and (iii) developing neither drug?

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A pharmaceutical company has resources to develop either drug X or drug Y or none at all. Drug X will cost $100 million to develop, and it can generate $1 billion if it succeeds.Drug Y will cost $10 million to develop, and it can generate $300 million if it succeeds.Drug X has a 50% chance of success and drug Y has an 80% chance of success.Use decision tree to help the pharmaceutical company select which drug to develop.What are the expected values for the three decision alternatives: (i) developing drug X, (ii) developing drug Y, and (iii) developing neither drug?