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Financial Forecasting
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Financial Forecasting
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17 Questions

1. = 1 - (B - Payout Ratio) (This is the flipside of the payout ratio)

2. Forecasting - future

3. Method of forecasting that relates everything back to sales

4. Discretionary Financing Need; the amount of additional financing the firm will need to work the assumptions and pro forma financial statements.

5. NI / Sales

6. Assets / Equity (When company is willing to borrow more and increase leverage - it has more cash to support growth)

7. RE = Old RE + Change in RE (NI - Dividends)

8. Cash Dividends / NI (Informs us how much of net income we pay out in dividends; its flipside is the plowback ratio)

9. ROE = Net Margin Asset Turnover Equity Multiplier 1) Net Margin = NI / Sales 2) Asset Turnover = Sales / Asset 3) Equity Multiplier = Assets / Equity

10. Line-item accounts that change automatically as sales increase. These include: Most current assets -Accounts payable -Accruals (e.g. accrued wages) -SOMETIMES fixed assets

11. 1) Slow sales growth (e.g. increase price - net margin; decrease assets needed) 2) Examine capacity restraints (e.g. full capacity? outsource?) 3) Lower dividend payout (ratio) 4) Higher net margin (raise price - cut costs)

12. Total Assets needed to finance the new sales level

13. Net Income / Equity OR Net Margin/profitability Asset Turnover/Efficiency Leverage/financing

14. Future RE = Old RE + Projected Sales X Net Margin X (1 - Payout Ratio)

15. Sales / Assets (As this goes up - more sales are generated per dollar of assets and the firm requires less investment to increase sales)

16. AKA Discretionary Accounts. Line-item accounts that do not automatically change as sales increase; these include: Notes Payable -Long-term liability -Common stock

17. Garbage in - garbage out. A characteristic of financial forecasting - i.e. if our assumptions are dumb - our answers will also be dumb